Bengal’s Covid-19 optimistic affirmation charge – proportion of individuals testing optimistic for each 100 samples examined – is recording a big lower regardless of a pointy rise within the variety of checks, a pattern that stands in distinction of these in its neighbouring states and another main states.
Over the previous fortnight, whereas Bengal’s common each day testing elevated by over 227%, the typical variety of individuals testing optimistic on day elevated by solely 33%. This has resulted in a pointy decline within the state’s optimistic affirmation charge, from four.87% on Might 5 to three.11% on Might 19, serving to Bengal to enhance its place.
As on Might 20, India’s optimistic affirmation charge stood at four.2%, with 105,750 individuals testing optimistic for two,512,388 samples examined. This was barely decrease than four.5% on April 22. Within the first month of the lockdown, India’s testing had elevated 24 occasions whereas the variety of new optimistic circumstances grew by 16 occasions, chairman of India’s Covid-19 Empowered Group 2 had mentioned on April 23.
In distinction, Bengal’s enchancment is sharper. Between Might 5 and seven, the state examined 7,637 samples, averaging 2,545 per day. In these three days, 289 individuals examined optimistic, with a mean of 96 individuals each day. Nonetheless, between Might 17 and 19, the state examined 24,994 samples, with Eight,331 checks each day on a mean. Throughout these three days, 385 individuals examined optimistic, with a mean of 128 individuals per day.
This pattern stands in distinction to these noticed in neighbouring Bihar and Odisha, and the big states of Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Rajasthan and Maharashtra, the place optimistic affirmation charge elevated with the variety of common each day checks, even when barely.
In Tamil Nadu, variety of checks remained beneath 10,000 per day until Might four and the state had a optimistic affirmation charge of two.32% (four,058 optimistic of 174,232 samples examined). After testing one other 173,055 samples between Might 6 and Might 19, with a mean of 12,363 checks per day, the state’s optimistic affirmation charge stood at three.58% (12,448 positives out of 347,287 samples examined).
In Bihar, because the variety of checks elevated, the optimistic affirmation charge rose from 1% on Might 6 to 2.9% on Might 19. In Odisha, the optimistic affirmation charge elevated from .38% on Might 5 to .97% on Might 18.
The optimistic affirmation charge in Rajasthan remained virtually the identical – 2.31% on Might 6 (three,177 individuals testing optimistic for 137,287 checks) to 2.33% on Might 19 (5,845 individuals testing optimistic for 250,800 checks). The state’s enhance in each day variety of new circumstances has been in parity with the rise within the variety of checks.
Between Might 7 and 9, a complete 18,717 checks had been performed, averaging 6,239 checks per day, with 531 individuals testing optimistic, averaging 177 individuals per day. Between Might 17 and 19, a complete 32,455 checks had been performed averaging 10,815 checks per day, and 885 individuals examined optimistic, with a mean of 295 individuals each day.
Maharashtra’s ratio in enhance in variety of checks and the variety of individuals testing optimistic rose virtually in parity. It examined 28,428 samples throughout Might 6-Eight, with a mean of 9,476 samples each day, and altogether three,538 individuals examined optimistic, averaging 1,779 individuals per day. Throughout Might 16-18, the state examined 32,457 samples averaging 10,819 checks per day, throughout which 5,958 individuals examined optimistic, or 1,986 individuals each day on a mean.
In Karnataka, too, variety of individuals testing optimistic elevated with the variety of checks. Between Might 5 and seven, Karnataka examined 14,342 individuals, with a each day common of four,780 checks and general 54 individuals testing optimistic. Between Might 16 and Might 18, when it examined 17,939 samples with a each day common of 5,979 checks, the state recorded 190 new circumstances.
Bengal’s ruling celebration, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC), claimed that this was due to the state’s success in containing the unfold of the illnesses. “The info displays the state’s success in containing the illnesses by imposing a profitable lockdown. Folks’s cooperation made each containment zone successful story,” mentioned Santanu Sen, TMC Rajya Sabha MP and a physician by qualification. Sen has been one of many vital individuals in chief minister Mamata Banerjee’s Covid-19 administration group.
Public well being consultants Rezaul Karim and Punyabrata Goon, too, felt that Bengal might have managed to include the unfold to some extent.
Koushik Chaki, secretary of West Bengal Docs’ Discussion board, nevertheless, was of the opinion that the figures could also be a mirrored image of enormous variety of checks performed in comparatively lesser affected areas. “Some pool testing has been performed in north Bengal. A lot of checks have been performed within the eight north Bengal districts and Murshidabad in south Bengal, the place the virus’ unfold has been nominal,” Chaki mentioned.
A complete of 74,711 checks had been performed within the state between Might 5 and 19, of which 27,358 had been performed within the eight districts of north Bengal and Murshidabad. These 9 districts have reported solely 93 of the state’s 2,961 optimistic circumstances.